Baseball has a lot of luck involved. Take all those softly-hit bloopers that would have been pop outs anywhere but where they actually landed (in between the second baseman and right fielder), or all those one-out, runner-on-first hard ground balls that look like double plays until they scoot up the middle. And it isn't like the hitter is aiming for the diamond-cutter. Now compare those to the one-out, runners on second and third, down by one line drives with the runners going. Anywhere else and you take the lead, but no, it's at the third baseman, who steps on third for a double play. It's not too even.

But now, we're coming up with a very basic luck ratio. You only need two numbers and a calculator, and the two numbers can be found on fangraphs.

OPTION A: ARITHMETIC LUCK RATIO
The formula to calculate how lucky your team is BABIP-wise!

(Hitters BABIP)/League BABIP + League BABIP/(Pitchers BABIP). Take this number and divide by two to get Arithmetic Team Luck Ratio. One is average.

OPTION B (The better one): GEOMETRIC LUCK RATIO

I originally wanted to tinker with a geometric mean, being (Hitters BABIP)/League BABIP x League BABIP/Pitchers BABIP, Geometric Team Luck Ratio being the square root of that. But this can be simplified to Hitters BABIP x 1/Pitchers BABIP, which can then go to this.

The square root of (Hitters BABIP/Pitchers BABIP). 

Easy to find. A new stat is born. Research coming up soon!



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