Luck

8/27/2013

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Picture
Daniel Murphy after a walk off hit last season. This has nothing to do with the topic.

How to translate team luck ratio into an impact on wins? We can't just subtract team luck ratio from wins. And so a roadbump is hit.

Or... 10(TLR-1). So a TLR of 1.2 yields in 2 wins lost the next year. A TLR of 0.8? 2 wins gained. However, this obviously isn't the case, because 0.8 is 20% below 1, and two wins isn't 20% below 65. Neither is 63, in case you're wondering.

So, stay tuned while the search continues!



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